A Century of Financial Crises: Lessons from the 1930s to the 2008 Collapse

LotusChain
14 min readSep 7, 2024

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Research by: Mosi — Edited by: LotusChain-AiPublished at: 7 Sep 2024

Tracing the major events, policy shifts, and market downturns that shaped global economic history from the Great Depression to the modern era.

The financial crises between the 1930s and 2008 highlight key moments in global economic history where market failures, policy missteps, and systemic issues created widespread economic turmoil. The 1930s saw the Great Depression, caused by a stock market crash and exacerbated by protectionist policies like the Smoot-Hawley Tariff. In the 1970s, the collapse of the Bretton Woods system and the oil embargo led to stagflation. The 2008 financial crisis was driven by excessive risk-taking, subprime mortgages, and deregulation. Each crisis had unique triggers but shared themes of inadequate oversight and market instability.

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Timeline of the major events of the 1930s related to the financial crisis:

1929

  • September 3: The stock market reaches its peak, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) at 381.17.
  • October 24: Black Thursday — Stock prices begin to fall, leading to a wave of panic selling.
  • October 29: Black Tuesday — Stock prices plummet, with the DJIA falling 12.8% in a single day.

1930

  • January: The global economy begins to contract, with industrial production and trade declining.
  • March: The Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, further reducing borrowing and spending.
  • April: The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act is passed, raising tariffs on imported goods and sparking a trade war.
  • July: The Bank of United States, a major bank in New York City, fails, leading to a loss of confidence in the banking system.

1931

  • January: The global economy continues to deteriorate, with many countries experiencing severe economic downturns.
  • March: The Federal Reserve raises interest rates again, further reducing borrowing and spending.
  • May: The Creditanstalt, a major bank in Austria, fails, leading to a banking crisis in Europe.
  • July: The German government imposes capital controls to prevent a bank run.
  • August: The British government abandons the gold standard, allowing the pound to float against other currencies.

1932

  • January: The global economy reaches its lowest point, with industrial production and trade at historic lows.
  • February: The Reconstruction Finance Corporation (RFC) is established in the United States to provide loans to banks and other financial institutions.
  • March: The Federal Reserve begins to purchase government securities to inject liquidity into the economy.
  • July: The Democratic Party nominates Franklin D. Roosevelt for president, who campaigns on a platform of economic reform and recovery.

1933

  • March 4: Franklin D. Roosevelt is inaugurated as President of the United States, declaring a national bank holiday to address the banking crisis.
  • March 9: The Emergency Banking Act is passed, providing for the reopening of solvent banks and the creation of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
  • April: The Civilian Conservation Corps is established to provide jobs for young men in conservation and infrastructure projects.
  • May: The Agricultural Adjustment Administration is established to raise farm prices and incomes.
  • June: The Federal Securities Act is passed, requiring companies to disclose financial information to investors.
  • July: The National Recovery Administration is established to promote economic recovery and reform.

1934

  • January: The Federal Reserve begins to raise interest rates to combat inflation and speculation.
  • April: The Securities Exchange Act is passed, establishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate the stock market.
  • June: The Federal Housing Administration is established to provide insurance for home mortgages.
  • August: The Reciprocal Trade Agreements Act is passed, allowing the President to negotiate trade agreements with other countries.

1935

  • April: The Works Progress Administration is established to provide jobs for millions of Americans in construction, arts, and other fields.
  • May: The Rural Electrification Administration is established to provide electricity to rural areas.
  • June: The National Youth Administration is established to provide jobs and training for young people.
  • August: The Social Security Act is passed, establishing a system of old-age pensions and unemployment insurance.

1936

  • January: The economy begins to recover, with industrial production and employment rising.
  • March: The Supreme Court declares the National Recovery Administration unconstitutional, leading to the end of the program.
  • June: The Federal Reserve raises interest rates again, leading to a slowdown in economic growth.

1937

  • January: The economy experiences a recession, with industrial production and employment falling.
  • March: The Federal Reserve raises interest rates again, further reducing economic growth.
  • August: The National Housing Act is passed, establishing the Federal National Mortgage Association (Fannie Mae) to provide financing for home mortgages.

This timeline highlights the major events of the 1930s related to the financial crisis, including the stock market crash, banking crises, and government responses to the crisis.

Timeline of the major events of the 1970s related to the financial crisis:

1971

  • August: The United States unilaterally cancels the direct convertibility of the US dollar to gold, effectively ending the Bretton Woods system and allowing currencies to float against each other.
  • December: The Smithsonian Agreement is signed, establishing a new system of fixed exchange rates, but it ultimately fails to stabilize the global economy.

1972

  • January: The United States imposes a 90-day freeze on wages and prices to combat inflation.
  • March: The European Economic Community (EEC) establishes the European Monetary System (EMS), a precursor to the euro.
  • August: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a recession.

1973

  • January: The 1973 oil embargo begins, as Arab oil-producing countries cut off oil exports to the United States and other Western countries in response to their support of Israel in the Yom Kippur War.
  • March: The oil embargo leads to a sharp increase in oil prices, contributing to high inflation and a recession.
  • July: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates again, further reducing economic growth.

1974

  • January: The 1973–74 stock market crash begins, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) falling 14.8% in a single day.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to stimulate economic growth.
  • August: President Richard Nixon resigns, and Vice President Gerald Ford takes office.

1975

  • January: The US economy enters a recession, with high unemployment and inflation.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates again to stimulate economic growth.
  • August: The New York City fiscal crisis begins, as the city faces bankruptcy due to high debt and declining revenues.

1976

  • January: The US economy begins to recover, with industrial production and employment rising.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation.
  • August: The Democratic Party nominates Jimmy Carter for president, who campaigns on a platform of economic reform and recovery.

1977

  • January: Jimmy Carter is inaugurated as President of the United States, promising to address the economic crisis.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates again to combat inflation.
  • August: The Carter administration proposes a stimulus package to address the ongoing recession.

1978

  • January: The US economy enters a second recession, with high inflation and unemployment.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates again to combat inflation.
  • August: The Camp David Accords are signed, establishing a peace treaty between Israel and Egypt, and leading to a decrease in oil prices.

1979

  • January: The Iranian Revolution leads to a second oil price shock, contributing to high inflation and a recession.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a sharp increase in interest rates and a recession.
  • August: Paul Volcker is appointed Chairman of the Federal Reserve, and begins to implement tight monetary policies to combat inflation.

This timeline highlights the major events of the 1970s related to the financial crisis, including the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the oil embargo, high inflation, and recessions.

Timeline of major events related to financial crises between 1930 and 1970:

1930s

  • 1930: The global economy continues to deteriorate, with many countries experiencing severe economic downturns.
  • 1931: The Creditanstalt, a major bank in Austria, fails, leading to a banking crisis in Europe.
  • 1932: The global economy reaches its lowest point, with industrial production and trade at historic lows.
  • 1933: The United States establishes the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to insure bank deposits and restore confidence in the banking system.
  • 1934: The Securities Exchange Act is passed, establishing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to regulate the stock market.

1940s

  • 1944: The Bretton Woods Agreement is signed, establishing a new international monetary order and fixed exchange rates.
  • 1945: The United States emerges from World War II as the dominant economic power, with the US dollar becoming the global reserve currency.

1950s

  • 1953: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a recession.
  • 1958: The US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to stimulate economic growth, leading to a period of rapid economic expansion.

1960s

  • 1960: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a recession.
  • 1963: The US Federal Reserve lowers interest rates to stimulate economic growth, leading to a period of rapid economic expansion.
  • 1966: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a slowdown in economic growth.
  • 1967: The UK experiences a currency crisis, leading to a devaluation of the pound sterling.
  • 1968: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, leading to a recession.

1970

  • January: The US economy enters a recession, with high unemployment and inflation.
  • March: The US Federal Reserve raises interest rates to combat inflation, further reducing economic growth.
  • August: The US government imposes a 90-day freeze on wages and prices to combat inflation.

This timeline highlights the major events related to financial crises between 1930 and 1970, including the Great Depression, the Bretton Woods Agreement, and the economic fluctuations of the 1950s and 1960s.

Timeline of the major events of the 2008 financial crisis:

January 2008

  • January 2: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) closes at 13,043, its highest level in over a year.
  • January 11: Bank of America announces it will acquire Countrywide Financial, a major subprime mortgage lender, for $4 billion.

February 2008

  • February 13: The Federal Reserve lowers interest rates by 0.5% to 3.5% to stimulate economic growth.
  • February 17: The UK government nationalizes Northern Rock, a major bank, to prevent its collapse.

March 2008

  • March 11: The Federal Reserve announces a $200 billion loan program to provide liquidity to banks and other financial institutions.
  • March 16: Bear Stearns, a major investment bank, is sold to JPMorgan Chase for $2.5 billion after it faces financial difficulties.

April 2008

  • April 2: The Federal Reserve lowers interest rates by 0.25% to 2.25% to stimulate economic growth.
  • April 14: The IMF warns of a global economic downturn due to the credit crisis.

May 2008

  • May 12: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $40 billion in capital injections to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two government-sponsored enterprises that provide financing for mortgages.

June 2008

  • June 9: The Federal Reserve raises interest rates by 0.25% to 2.5% to combat inflation.
  • June 16: The US Senate passes the Housing and Economic Recovery Act, which provides $300 billion in mortgage relief and establishes a new regulator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

July 2008

  • July 11: IndyMac Bank, a major mortgage lender, is seized by the FDIC and sold to a group of investors.
  • July 15: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $29 billion in financing to JPMorgan Chase to acquire Bear Stearns’ assets.

August 2008

  • August 7: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $85 billion in financing to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to prevent their collapse.
  • August 17: The Russian stock market crashes, leading to a global sell-off in stocks.

September 2008

  • September 7: The US government takes control of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, placing them into conservatorship.
  • September 14: Lehman Brothers, a major investment bank, files for bankruptcy, leading to a global financial panic.
  • September 15: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) falls 504 points, or 4.4%, to 10,917.
  • September 16: The Federal Reserve provides an $85 billion loan to American International Group (AIG), a major insurance company, to prevent its collapse.
  • September 19: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $700 billion in financing to purchase troubled assets from banks and other financial institutions.

October 2008

  • October 3: The US Congress passes the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP), authorizing the Treasury Department to purchase up to $700 billion in troubled assets.
  • October 6: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) falls 733 points, or 7.9%, to 9,447.
  • October 13: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to invest $250 billion in nine major banks, including Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Chase.

November 2008

  • November 4: Barack Obama is elected President of the United States, promising to address the financial crisis.
  • November 20: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $20 billion in financing to Citigroup to prevent its collapse.

December 2008

  • December 16: The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) announces that the US economy has been in a recession since December 2007.
  • December 19: The US Treasury Department announces a plan to provide $5 billion in financing to GMAC, the financing arm of General Motors.

This timeline highlights the major events of the 2008 financial crisis, including the collapse of Lehman Brothers, the bailout of AIG, and the passage of the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).

The 2008 financial crisis was a complex and multifaceted event, but some of the key events that led to it include:

  1. Subprime Mortgage Crisis: Banks and other financial institutions began to offer subprime mortgages to borrowers who were not able to afford them. These mortgages had low introductory interest rates that reset to much higher rates after an initial period, making them unaffordable for many homeowners.
  2. Housing Market Bubble: The demand for housing increased, driven by low interest rates and lax lending standards, causing housing prices to rise rapidly. This created a bubble in the housing market, which eventually burst.
  3. Securitization of Mortgages: Banks and other financial institutions packaged these subprime mortgages into securities and sold them to investors around the world. This allowed them to offload the risk of default, but it also spread the risk throughout the financial system.
  4. Deregulation: The Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act of 1999 repealed parts of the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933, allowing commercial banks to engage in investment activities. This led to a lack of oversight and regulation of the financial industry.
  5. Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve, led by Chairman Alan Greenspan, kept interest rates low for an extended period, encouraging borrowing and fueling the housing bubble.
  6. Global Imbalances: The United States was running large trade deficits, financed by foreign central banks, particularly in Asia. This created a surplus of dollars in the global economy, which helped to fuel the housing bubble.
  7. Financial Innovation: The development of complex financial instruments, such as credit default swaps (CDS) and collateralized debt obligations (CDO), made it difficult for investors to understand the risks involved.
  8. Rating Agency Failures: Credit rating agencies, such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s, gave overly optimistic ratings to these mortgage-backed securities, making them appear safer than they actually were.
  9. Leverage and Risk-Taking: Financial institutions, including investment banks and hedge funds, took on excessive leverage and risk, making them vulnerable to collapse when the housing market began to decline.
  10. Regulatory Failures: Regulatory agencies, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), failed to adequately supervise the financial industry, allowing these risky practices to continue unchecked.

These factors combined to create a perfect storm that ultimately led to the 2008 financial crisis.

Comparison of the causes and consequences of the financial crises in the 1930s, 1970s, and 2008:

Causes:

  • 1930s:Overproduction and under consumption in the 1920s led to a surplus of goods and a subsequent decline in prices and profits.Weak banking regulations and lack of oversight led to widespread bank failures.Protectionist trade policies, such as the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, exacerbated the crisis by reducing international trade. Global economic downturn and decline in international trade.
  • 1970s:Stagflation (high inflation and unemployment) due to a combination of factors, including the 1973 oil embargo, high government spending, and monetary policy mistakes.Deregulation of the banking industry, leading to increased risk-taking and speculation.High inflation and interest rates, which reduced consumer spending and investment. Global economic downturn and decline in international trade.
  • 2008:Housing market bubble and subsequent burst, leading to a sharp decline in housing prices and a surge in foreclosures.Deregulation of the financial industry, leading to excessive risk-taking and speculation.Complex financial instruments, such as mortgage-backed securities and credit default swaps, which made it difficult for investors to understand the risks involved. Global imbalances, including large trade deficits in the United States and a surplus of dollars in the global economy.

Consequences:

  • 1930s:Unemployment rates soared to over 25%, with some estimates as high as 40%.GDP declined by over 25% between 1929 and 1933.Widespread bank failures, with over 9,000 banks failing between 1929 and 1933. Global trade declined by over 60% between 1929 and 1934.
  • 1970s:Unemployment rates rose to over 9%, with inflation rates reaching as high as 14.8% in 1980.GDP growth slowed significantly, with average annual growth rates of around 2.5% between 1973 and 1982.High inflation and interest rates led to a decline in consumer spending and investment. Global economic growth slowed, with many countries experiencing recessions.
  • 2008:Unemployment rates rose to over 10%, with some estimates as high as 17.5% when including underemployment.GDP declined by over 5% between 2007 and 2009.Widespread bank failures, with several major banks and financial institutions requiring government bailouts. Global trade declined by over 12% between 2008 and 2009.

Similarities:

  • All three crises were characterized by a buildup of debt and speculation, followed by a sharp decline in asset prices and a subsequent crisis of confidence.
  • Deregulation and lack of oversight played a significant role in each crisis.
  • Global economic downturns and declines in international trade were common features of each crisis.

Differences:

  • The 1930s crisis was more severe and longer-lasting than the 1970s and 2008 crises.
  • The 1970s crisis was characterized by high inflation, while the 2008 crisis was characterized by a housing market bubble and subsequent burst.
  • The 2008 crisis was more global in nature, with many countries experiencing severe economic downturns.

Overview of the financial crisis informative data:

Financial Crisis Overview

A financial crisis is a situation in which the stability of the financial system is threatened, often resulting in a sharp decline in asset values, a decrease in liquidity, and a loss of confidence in the financial system. Financial crises can have severe consequences for the economy, including recession, high unemployment, and widespread business failures.

Causes of Financial Crises

Financial crises can be caused by a variety of factors, including:

  • Overproduction and under consumption: When there is a surplus of goods and services, prices decline, and profits fall, leading to a crisis.
  • Deregulation: Lax regulations can lead to excessive risk-taking and speculation, which can contribute to a crisis.
  • Global economic downturns: A decline in international trade and economic activity can lead to a crisis.
  • Complex financial instruments: The use of complex financial instruments, such as derivatives and credit default swaps, can make it difficult for investors to understand the risks involved, leading to a crisis.
  • Housing market bubbles: A rapid increase in housing prices, followed by a sharp decline, can lead to a crisis.

Consequences of Financial Crises

The consequences of financial crises can be severe and far-reaching, including:

  • Unemployment: Financial crises can lead to high levels of unemployment, as businesses fail and jobs are lost.
  • Recession: Financial crises can lead to a recession, which is a period of economic decline.
  • Business failures: Financial crises can lead to widespread business failures, as companies are unable to access credit and operate profitably.
  • Global economic downturns: Financial crises can lead to a decline in international trade and economic activity, affecting economies around the world.

Notable Financial Crises

Some notable financial crises include:

  • The Great Depression (1929–1939): A global economic downturn that lasted for over a decade, caused by a combination of factors, including overproduction, under consumption, and protectionist trade policies.
  • The 1970s Stagflation Crisis: A period of high inflation and unemployment, caused by a combination of factors, including high government spending, monetary policy mistakes, and global economic downturns.
  • The 2008 Global Financial Crisis: A global financial crisis caused by a housing market bubble and subsequent burst, leading to a sharp decline in asset values, a decrease in liquidity, and a loss of confidence in the financial system.

Lessons Learned

Financial crises can provide valuable lessons for policymakers, regulators, and investors, including:

  • The importance of regulation: Strong regulations can help prevent excessive risk-taking and speculation.
  • The dangers of complex financial instruments: Complex financial instruments can make it difficult for investors to understand the risks involved.
  • The need for global cooperation: Financial crises can have global consequences, highlighting the need for international cooperation and coordination.

Major & Minor!!!

Read more about the years: 1929–1987–1999-2011

Conclusion:

Understanding the financial crises from the 1930s to 2008 is crucial for developing more resilient financial systems. These crises underline the importance of sound economic policies, regulatory frameworks, and international cooperation. While the specifics vary, the commonality is the need for balance between market freedom and regulation, emphasizing risk management to prevent future collapses. Learning from past mistakes enables governments and institutions to better safeguard economies from similar shocks in the future.

#FinancialCrisis #GreatDepression #2008Crash #EconomicHistory #GlobalRecession #BigShort #HouseMarketCrash

Note: This is only history lessons, not ADVICE

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LotusChain

Written by LotusChain

BLUE LOTUS "aka Lotus Chain", is a pioneer blockchain startup with focusing on democratization and decentralization.

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